Technical Reports

Technical reports published by the Future of Humanity Institute are listed below:

• Karger, E, Atanasov, P., & Tetlock, P. (2022). Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies (Technical Report #2022-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Newberry, T. & Ord, T. The Parliamentary Approach to Moral Uncertainty (Technical Report #2021-2). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Ord, T. (2021). Proposal for a New ‘Three Lines of Defence’ Approach to UK Risk Management (Extreme Risks Working Paper #2021-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
• Nelson, C. & Lewis, G. (2020) Proposal for a New UK National Institute for Biological Security (Technical Report #2020-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Drexler, E. (2019). Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence (Technical Report #2019-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Sandberg, A. (2018). Space races: settling the universe fast. (Technical Report #2018-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Armstrong, S. (2017). Anthropic decision theory for self-locating beliefs (Technical Report #2017-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Bostrom, N. (2016). Strategic Implications of Openness in AI Development (Technical Report #2016-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Snyder-Beattie, A., et al. (2015). Systemic Risk of Modelling in Insurance: Did your model tell you all models are wrong? Systemic Risk of Modelling Working Party, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
• Drexler, K.E. (2015). MDL Intelligence Distillation: Exploring strategies for safe access to superintelligent problem-solving capabilities (Technical Report #2015-3). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Cotton-Barratt, O. (2015). Allocating risk mitigation across time, (Technical Report #2015-2). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford & Global Priorities Project.
• Cotton-Barratt, O. & Ord, T. (2015). Existential Risk and Existential Hope: Definitions (Technical Report #2015-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Sandberg, A. (2014). Monte Carlo model of brain emulation development (Working Paper #2014-1). Future of Humanity Institute & Oxford Martin Programme on the Impacts of Future Technology Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
• Armstrong, S. (2012). Anthropics: why Probability isn’t enough (Technical Report #2012-2), Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Sandberg, A. & Armstrong, S. (2012). Indefinite survival through backup copies (Technical Report #2012-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. (2011). Machine Intelligence Survey, (Technical Report #2011-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Armstrong, S. (2010). Utility indifference (Technical Report #2010-1). Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. (2008). Whole Brain Emulation: A Roadmap (Technical Report #2008‐3), Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.
• Tickell, C., et al. (2008). Record of the Workshop on Policy Foresight and Global Catastrophic Risk. James Martin Institute for science and civilisation, University of Oxford.
• Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. (2008). Global Catastrophic Risks Survey (Technical Report #2008-1), Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford.